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Your journey towards impact begins with a theory of change.

I coach students through a Theory of Change deck — working backward from the impact you want, to the conditions that make it possible, to the assumptions worth testing, to what you actually invest.

Sound familiar?

You've got the idea. You're short on the conditions that make it stick.

Pitching for grant moneyA grantor wants to know which lasting conditions your project creates — not just what activities you’ll run.
Presenting a capstoneYour professor/teacher wants to see the assumptions behind your method, not just a poster of good intentions.
Onboarding like-minded individualsPeople join projects they can picture working. "Build a library, kids will read more" is an assumption, not a plan.
Talking to stakeholders with powerA local committee will ask "and how do you know that leads to change?" You need conditions, not just hope.

Why a theory of change matters

Change is the tip. Conditions are the iceberg underneath.

A theory of change stresses the stabilising conditions that allow change to happen, rather than fixating on the change itself. Most first-draft project pitches skip straight to the visible tip — and skip the foundation holding it up.

  • Embraces complexitychange is rarely linear. Stabilising one condition often makes others easier to reach.
  • Promotes longevityfocus on underlying conditions and the change is more likely to last after your project ends.
  • Manages riskit shows you which conditions are most fragile, so you know where your plan could break first.

The deck

The Theory of Change Pathway

Five stages, worked backward. We start from the impact you're chasing, define the change it requires, identify the assumptions behind it, convert them into conditions that must hold, and then decide what inputs are needed to stabilise those conditions.

01 · Impact

What lasts

Start here. The lasting transformation you’re ultimately chasing, beyond the short term.

Define
02 · Change

What must transform

The nearer-term outcome that has to happen for that impact to be possible at all.

Identify
03 · Assumption

What you’re betting on

The belief behind the change — identified and checked before you turn it into a condition to work toward.

Convert
04 · Condition

What must hold

The condition derived from the assumption, stabilised through the inputs needed to make it hold.

Stabilise
05 · Input

What you invest

Only now: the actions, people, and resources you actually commit to the project.

Coaching sprints

From community context to a stabilised plan.

Sprint 01

Understand the community

We collate what’s known about the community — its context, the issues or problems it faces, and who is affected by them.

By the endAn outlined Impact and the Change it requires.
Sprint 02

Derive the conditions

We identify the assumptions behind the change, test them, and use what we learn to define the conditions that need to be stabilised.

By the endA set of tested assumptions ready to convert into conditions.
Sprint 03

Plan the inputs

We map the actions, people, and resources that would help stabilise the conditions selected, including potential partnerships and assets.

By the endA list of identified inputs.

Past quests

Projects that walked the pathway

Education access · Thanh An Island, Can Gio

Read to Succeed: Thanh An

A chance conversation with local officials on a 2024 field trip surfaced a real gap: limited English learning support at the island’s one school. Over two years, the Can Gio Go Getters renewed the library collection, refreshed classrooms to make learning fun, and piloted a take-home card game for students to practise with family.

Library renewed · take-home game piloted with families
Youth development · Kon Tum Central Highlands

Project Shine

Repeated trips to a Bahnar village built a year-long partnership with CIDO at Fulbright University Vietnam. Together, a team co-designed an experiential summer camp that stretched youths’ worldviews beyond the village and grew local youth leaders to carry the programme forward.

Child protection & sex-ed · Tra Vinh, Vietnam

Anh of EVG

A team set out to reform curriculum on puberty, consent, and contraception for a rural commune in Tra Vinh, Viet Nam. Interviews with parents and youth, plus experts from AWARE and MSF, showed they needed to meet the community where it was. They pivoted to co-create an open-access storybook, set in the real school and community library by EcoVietnam, that teaches children about unsafe touch and harassment.

Start your quest

Bring your passion and ideas. Leave with a stabilised plan.

Sprints run 45–60 minutes each, one on one or ideally with your project team. Bring whatever you've got — conversation snippets, observation notes, photos. Anything for a start.

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Your quest guide slash coach

There's no perfect model and no single correct theory of change — just many theories, and many sites of wonder. This deck isn't meant to be prescriptive, it's meant to be a pedagogical starting point for your own thinking.

Cheng Yi'En

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